Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 17.758753 20.028063 22.497833 25.388800 28.684388 32.329224 36.672751
2025-03-16 14.426810 17.514190 21.149273 25.759722 31.472461 38.345461 47.281502
2025-03-23 12.469013 16.111392 20.696810 26.928480 35.231138 45.987940 61.102621
2025-03-30 10.681767 14.551681 19.709489 27.148369 37.704251 52.298164 74.266535
2025-04-06 9.095102 12.964382 18.380619 26.605615 38.938429 56.994364 85.893908
2025-04-13 7.905416 11.727575 17.315106 26.199288 40.196203 61.778199 98.310564
2025-04-20 7.234556 11.137441 17.078197 26.939879 43.219475 69.587923 116.682456
2025-04-27 6.705991 10.680793 16.960293 27.808856 46.514376 78.244791 137.866117
2025-05-04 6.165677 10.127682 16.602292 28.203936 49.025241 85.887736 158.508729
2025-05-11 5.539273 9.351743 15.772811 27.661508 49.782188 90.492868 174.234787
2025-05-18 5.016496 8.688760 15.050785 27.198494 50.585211 95.239742 190.965356
2025-05-25 4.607593 8.177543 14.531320 27.026986 51.887369 101.078532 210.857911
2025-06-01 4.257988 7.746597 14.128382 27.064085 53.683772 108.331013 235.491662
2025-06-08 3.931859 7.324612 13.696384 26.992738 55.262331 115.409176 261.202768
2025-06-15 3.763201 7.183212 13.782674 27.975090 59.192032 128.139778 302.606926
2025-06-22 3.514217 6.857005 13.467603 28.078250 61.226649 136.994188 336.476551
2025-06-29 3.218908 6.406430 12.851151 27.452910 61.529068 141.897925 361.356659
2025-07-06 2.972315 6.029669 12.344862 27.001361 62.157240 147.652266 389.628215
2025-07-13 2.854501 5.910208 12.368475 27.750068 65.756198 161.308002 442.537850
2025-07-20 2.756180 5.821860 12.448590 28.638661 69.832582 176.874577 504.472733
2025-07-27 2.627404 5.653492 12.332526 29.042013 72.738430 189.856092 561.753566
2025-08-03 2.440537 5.337047 11.847972 28.479972 73.037480 195.784732 598.562869
2025-08-10 2.275941 5.055973 11.417232 28.001066 73.493841 202.244496 638.647838